Morehead State Eagles
Away · model win chance 15%
66
Preview · Sat 11/21, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: FloSports
· Schar Center, Elon, NC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ETELON -12.3model spread
144.1model total
66possessions
No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Josh Dalton ELON · F
+6.1#6 overall in CAA
Offensive engine
Hunter Harding ELON · C
+4.0#5 offense in CAA
Defensive anchor
Cam Thrower ELON · G
+0.7#56 defense in CAA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MORE | ELON | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -14.6 #327 | -1.2 #167 |
| Offense | 104.2 #207 | 103.4 #218 |
| Defense | 118.8 #357 | 104.6 #148 |
| Tempo | 67.7 #320 | 68.4 #290 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morehead State Eagles | non-CAA team, not tracked | ||
| Elon Phoenix | 2 | 169 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.