Away · model win chance 76%
75
Long Island University Sharks
Home · model win chance 24%
67
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET · How to watch: NEC Front Row · Brooklyn Athletic Center, Brooklyn, NY · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ET
UNC Wilmington Seahawks 7576% to win Long Island University Sharks 6724% to win
UNCW -8.3model spread
141.8model total
72possessions

No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

UNCWLIU
Net rating+6.8 #94-10.3 #289
Offense108.3 #13394.6 #333
Defense101.6 #89104.9 #153
Tempo71.0 #13471.0 #136
Games this season45
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
UNC Wilmington Seahawks3495same
Long Island University Sharksnon-CAA team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.