William & Mary vs. Michigan prediction: model has Michigan by 24
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
William & Mary (2-1) visits Michigan at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor Sunday at 2 PM ET on B1G+.
Our model makes Michigan a 23.8-point favorite, projecting a 98-75 final, and gives Michigan a 98% chance to win. The betting market has Michigan favored by 26.5 with a total of 169.5. The model leans William & Mary +26.5 and Over 169.5.
Players to watch: Brian Carter Jr. of William & Mary, 16.3 points a game; Gavin Ward of William & Mary, 8.8 points a game; Jesse McIntosh of William & Mary, 5.7 points a game.
William & Mary traveled about 1,288 miles to Ann Arbor.
Model makes it MICH -24.5; the market says MICH -18.5. That is 6.0 points of daylight toward MICH, a big lean on the favorite.
Under 1839.7
Model total 173.3 against a market 183: a big lean to the under by 9.7.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
W&M
MICH
Net rating
-1.7 #170
+24.8 #19
Offense
112.3 #73
117.9 #31
Defense
114.0 #325
93.1 #22
Tempo
73.3 #39
73.8 #27
Games this season
3
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
