American University Eagles
Home · model win chance 37%
63
Preview · Sun 11/22, 1 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $31
· Bender Arena, Washington, DC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ETTOW -4.0model spread
130.1model total
66possessions
No line yet. CAA lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Caleb Embeya TOW · F
+9.3#2 overall in CAA
Offensive engine
Jaquan Womack TOW · G
+1.9#23 offense in CAA
Defensive anchor
Chike Ndefo TOW · G
+6.2#2 defense in CAA
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 171 rated CAA players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| TOW | AMER | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +7.9 #89 | -3.6 #198 |
| Offense | 102.9 #229 | 103.3 #223 |
| Defense | 94.9 #30 | 106.9 #189 |
| Tempo | 67.7 #321 | 69.0 #266 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When CAA lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Towson Tigers | 3 | 42 | same |
| American University Eagles | non-CAA team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.