Pepperdine Waves
Home · model win chance 34%
73
Preview · Thu 11/19, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $28
· Firestone Fieldhouse, Malibu, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ETUCSB -4.9model spread
151.7model total
68possessions
No line yet. Big West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Marvin McGhee IV UCSB · G
+7.2#1 overall in Big West
Offensive engine
Aidan Mahaney UCSB · G
+2.1#9 offense in Big West
Defensive anchor
Eric Dibami UCSB · C
+3.9#6 defense in Big West
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 168 rated Big West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UCSB | PEPP | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +9.3 #84 | -3.2 #190 |
| Offense | 112.9 #66 | 107.2 #155 |
| Defense | 103.6 #129 | 110.4 #264 |
| Tempo | 67.3 #333 | 71.2 #123 |
| Games this season | 3 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big West lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 3 | 59 | same |
| Pepperdine Waves | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.