Long Beach St vs. UCLA prediction: model has UCLA by 27
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Long Beach St (1-2) visits UCLA at Pauley Pavilion in Los Angeles Monday at 10 PM ET on BTN.
Our model makes UCLA a 26.5-point favorite, projecting an 87-60 final, and gives UCLA a 99% chance to win.
Players to watch: Jack Payne of Long Beach St, 11.8 points a game; Jaden Tengan of Long Beach St, 10 points a game; Max Vanlaningham of Long Beach St, 3 points a game.
Long Beach State has retired the men's basketball numbers of Ed Ratleff (42), Bryon Russell (32), Lucious Harris (30) and Glenn McDonald (20).
No line yet. Big West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 168 rated Big West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
LBSU
UCLA
Net rating
-2.7 #185
+29.4 #8
Offense
101.5 #261
121.6 #11
Defense
104.2 #137
92.2 #18
Tempo
70.1 #206
71.0 #139
Games this season
3
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
