Texas Southern vs. UC San Diego prediction: model has UC San Diego by 11
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Texas Southern visits UC San Diego (2-1) at LionTree Arena in San Diego Monday at 10 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes UC San Diego a 10.7-point favorite, projecting an 86-76 final, and gives UC San Diego a 81% chance to win.
Players to watch: Treysen Eaglestaff of UC San Diego, 16.3 points a game; Leo Beath of UC San Diego, 15.1 points a game; Jake Holmes of UC San Diego, 6.7 points a game.
UC San Diego traveled about 688 miles to San Diego.
Tom Marshall coached UC San Diego from 1983 to 1994, a stretch that included all four of the program's Division III tournament appearances.
No line yet. Big West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 168 rated Big West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
TXSO
UCSD
Net rating
-12.5 #307
-3.6 #197
Offense
99.6 #285
106.8 #161
Defense
112.1 #291
110.4 #262
Tempo
74.1 #20
70.8 #157
Games this season
4
3
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
