Away · model win chance 6%
63
Stanford Cardinal
Home · model win chance 94%
82
Preview · Thu 11/19, 10 PM ET · How to watch: ACCNX · Tickets from $9 · Maples Pavilion, Stanford, CA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
Sacramento State Hornets 636% to win Stanford Cardinal 8294% to win
STAN -19.0model spread
144.3model total
75possessions

No line yet. Big West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 168 rated Big West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SACSTAN
Net rating-12.7 #310+7.4 #93
Offense92.2 #357107.7 #143
Defense104.8 #152100.3 #72
Tempo75.6 #669.4 #245
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big West lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Sacramento State Hornets488same
Stanford Cardinalnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.