Cal Baptist beat Arkansas-Pine Bluff 74-60 at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center.
Birmingham, Alabama, native Terry Coner Jr. led Cal Baptist with 21 points. Jalen Tatum had 24 points for Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Macaleab Rich led all players with 9 rebounds for Arkansas-Pine Bluff.
Cal Baptist had 10 fast-break points to Arkansas-Pine Bluff's 0. Arkansas-Pine Bluff covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 3.6 points.
California Baptist was picked ninth of 12 teams in the preseason poll ahead of its first Big West season.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Cal Baptist prediction: model has Cal Baptist by 10
Arkansas-Pine Bluff visits Cal Baptist (0-3) at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center in Riverside Friday at 10:30 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Cal Baptist a 10.4-point favorite, projecting a 79-68 final, and gives Cal Baptist a 81% chance to win. The betting market has Cal Baptist favored by 15 with a total of 145.5. The model leans Arkansas-Pine Bluff +15.0 and Over 145.5.
Players to watch: Terry Coner Jr. of Cal Baptist, 14 points a game; Rene D'Amelio of Cal Baptist, 9.5 points a game; Jonas Zilinskas of Cal Baptist, 4.6 points a game.
Cal Baptist is on one day of rest.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
UAPB 68, CBU 79model score
-10.4model spread (home)
147.1model total
3.6points off the final margin
UnderdogUAPB +15.55.1WonOver 144.52.6Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-10.0
151.5
our snapshots
Latest
-14.5
128.5
-100000
99900
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
-15.5
144.5
-1650
950
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +14 (home)ATS UAPB coveredTotal 134 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
UAPB
non-MAC team, not tracked
CBU
1
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
