Portland State Vikings
Home · model win chance 74%
86
Preview · Sun 11/22, 5 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Viking Pavilion, Portland, OR
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ETPRST -7.9model spread
163.2model total
77possessions
No line yet. Big West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Matthew Willenborg CSUF · G
+1.2#32 overall in Big West
Offensive engine
Bailey Nunn CSUF · G
+0.6#37 offense in Big West
Defensive anchor
Joshua Ward CSUF · G
+0.6#54 defense in Big West
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 168 rated Big West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| CSUF | PRST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.7 #245 | -1.9 #175 |
| Offense | 102.0 #250 | 105.6 #177 |
| Defense | 108.7 #239 | 107.5 #209 |
| Tempo | 76.6 #1 | 70.8 #158 |
| Games this season | 3 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Big West lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 3 | 866 | same |
| Portland State Vikings | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.