Away · model win chance 34%
78
Idaho Vandals
Home · model win chance 66%
83
Preview · Fri 11/20, 9 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $53 · ICCU Arena, Moscow, ID · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 7834% to win Idaho Vandals 8366% to win
IDHO -4.9model spread
160.3model total
72possessions

No line yet. Big West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 168 rated Big West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

CSUBIDHO
Net rating-7.6 #254-6.2 #231
Offense106.5 #165103.3 #218
Defense114.1 #328109.5 #255
Tempo72.7 #5469.9 #217
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big West lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners42,188same
Idaho Vandalsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.