Doha, Qatar, native Hamad Mousa led Cal Poly with 19 points. Miles Klapper had 24 points and 6 assists for Idaho. Kristian Gonzalez led all players with 9 rebounds for Idaho.
Cal Poly had 18 fast-break points to Idaho's 7. Cal Poly covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 20.4 points.
The 1980-81 Cal Poly team went 24-8, reached the NCAA Division II Final Four in Springfield, Mass., and won the national third-place game 62-61 in double overtime.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Cal Poly vs. Idaho prediction: model has Idaho by 11
Cal Poly (1-2) visits Idaho at ICCU Arena in Moscow Friday at 9 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Idaho a 11.4-point favorite, projecting an 87-76 final, and gives Idaho a 83% chance to win. The betting market has Idaho favored by 1 with a total of 167. The model leans Idaho -1.0 and Under 167.
Players to watch: Cayden Ward of Cal Poly, 10.9 points a game; Austin Goode of Cal Poly, 6.6 points a game; Guzman Vasilic of Cal Poly, 5.3 points a game.
Cal Poly is on one day of rest and is playing its second straight road game and traveled about 954 miles to Moscow.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
CP 76, IDHO 87model score
-11.4model spread (home)
162.4model total
20.4points off the final margin
FavoriteIDHO -1.59.9LostUnder 167.55.1Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-0.8
164.8
our snapshots
Latest
+7.5
154.0
850
-10000
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
-1.5
167.5
-120
100
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -9 (home)ATS CP coveredTotal 157 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
CP
1
954
2
same
IDHO
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
