Neutral · model win chance 17%
71
Portland Pilots
Neutral · model win chance 83%
82
Preview · Sun 11/22, 7 PM ET · How to watch: FloSports · Tickets from $58 · Acrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
California Baptist Lancers 7117% to win Portland Pilots 8283% to win
PORT -11.6model spread
153.2model total
70possessions

No line yet. Big West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 168 rated Big West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

CBUPORT
Net rating-18.9 #349-2.2 #181
Offense97.6 #309107.4 #150
Defense116.4 #343109.6 #256
Tempo66.8 #34473.4 #37
Games this season45
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big West lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
California Baptist Lancers0 short0same
Portland Pilotsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.