Seattle U Redhawks
Away · model win chance 70%
71
Home · model win chance 30%
65
Preview · Tue 11/17, 10 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center, Riverside, CA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:32 AM ET
Seattle U Redhawks 7170% to win California Baptist Lancers 6530% to win
SEA -6.3model spread
136.4model total
67possessions

No line yet. Big West lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 168 rated Big West players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SEACBU
Net rating-4.1 #206-18.9 #349
Offense98.2 #30597.6 #309
Defense102.3 #102116.4 #343
Tempo70.8 #15366.8 #344
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Big West lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Seattle U Redhawksnon-MAC team, not tracked
California Baptist Lancers30same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.