Sacramento was the western terminus of the Pony Express, and construction of the first transcontinental railroad began in the city in 1863.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
UC Davis vs. Sacramento St prediction: model has Sacramento St by 11
UC Davis visits Sacramento St (1-1) at Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento Saturday at 8 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Sacramento St a 10.5-point favorite, projecting an 81-70 final, and gives Sacramento St a 81% chance to win. The betting market has Sacramento St favored by 3.5 with a total of 161. The model leans Sacramento St -3.5 and Under 161.
Players to watch: Taj Glover of Sacramento St, 13.6 points a game; Marcus Wilson of Sacramento St, 10.4 points a game; Osiris Grady of Sacramento St, 9.9 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
UCD 70, SAC 81model score
-10.6model spread (home)
151.1model total
29.6points off the final margin
FavoriteSAC -3.57.1LostUnder 161.510.4Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-3.5
154.0
our snapshots
Latest
+12.0
146.0
1562
-2625
our snapshots (9 books)
Close
-3.5
161.5
-170
142
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -19 (home)ATS UCD coveredTotal 131 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
UCD
non-MAC team, not tracked
SAC
6
88
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
