Final · Thu, Nov 12, 2026 · Provident Credit Union Event Center, San Jose, CA · attendance 2,871
· ESPN gamecast
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UC Riverside beat San José St 80-75
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
UC Riverside beat San José St 80-75 on the road in San Jose.
Carlsbad, California, native Tony Duckett led UC Riverside with 22 points. Mekhi Mason had 22 points for San José St. Robert Vaihola led all players with 7 rebounds for San José St.
UC Riverside committed 15 turnovers to San José St's 24. UC Riverside covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 11.4 points.
UC Riverside's athletic alumni include professional baseball player Joe Kelly and Brenda Martinez, who ran the 1,500 meters for the United States at the 2016 Rio Olympics.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
UC Riverside vs. San José State prediction: model has San José State by 5
UC Riverside (2-0) visits San José State at Provident Credit Union Event Center in San Jose Thursday at 10 PM ET on MW+.
Our model makes San José State a 5-point favorite, projecting an 80-74 final, and gives San José State a 66% chance to win. The betting market has San José State favored by 9 with a total of 154. The model leans UC Riverside +9.0 and Over 154.
Players to watch: Tyus Parrish-Tillman of UC Riverside, 22.5 points a game; Devon Malcolm of UC Riverside, 10.9 points a game; De'Undrae Perteete Jr. of UC Riverside, 2.5 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
UCR 74, SJSU 80model score
-6.4model spread (home)
154.4model total
11.4points off the final margin
UnderdogUCR +8.52.1WonOver 153.50.9Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-8.5
152.0
our snapshots
Latest
-1.5
158.5
-153
131
our snapshots (9 books)
Close
-8.5
153.5
-380
300
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -5 (home)ATS UCR coveredTotal 155 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
UCR
4
344
1
same
SJSU
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).