Utah Valley edged Nevada 73-71 on the road in Reno.
Fort Mill, South Carolina, native Isaac Hawkins led Utah Valley with 26 points. Styles Phipps had 18 points and 6 assists for Nevada. Peyton White led all players with 10 rebounds for Nevada.
Utah Valley covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 17.1 points.
In the NBA, former Nevada player Caleb Martin had 15 points and 8 rebounds for the Mavericks on Saturday; former Nevada player Kobe Sanders had 5 points for the Clippers the night before.
Utah Valley coach Todd Phillips went 205-58 in eight seasons at Salt Lake Community College and won the NJCAA Division I national title there in 2016.
Before the game
Our preview, as it ran before tip ·
Utah Valley vs. Nevada prediction: model has Nevada by 15
Utah Valley (2-0) visits Nevada at Lawlor Events Center in Reno Saturday at 10 PM ET on MW+.
Our model makes Nevada a 15-point favorite, projecting an 85-70 final, and gives Nevada a 90% chance to win. The betting market has Nevada favored by 9.5 with a total of 152. The model leans Nevada -9.5 and Over 152.
Players to watch: Tyler Weaver of Utah Valley, 14.6 points a game; Braden Housley of Utah Valley, 11.6 points a game; Isaac Hawkins of Utah Valley, 10.5 points a game.
Utah Valley traveled about 499 miles to Reno and crossed 1.0 time zone.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
UVU 70, NEV 86model score
-15.1model spread (home)
155.9model total
17.1points off the final margin
FavoriteNEV -9.55.6LostOver 151.54.4Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-10.0
150.0
our snapshots
Latest
+2.0
145.5
149
-176
our snapshots (4 books)
Close
-9.5
151.5
-550
410
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -2 (home)ATS UVU coveredTotal 144 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
UVU
6
499
1
-1 h
NEV
non-MAC team, not tracked
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
