North Las Vegas, Nevada, native CJ Shaw led UCSB with 20 points. Styles Phipps had 20 points for Nevada. Yaounde, Cameroon, native Eric Dibami led all players with 8 rebounds for UCSB.
UCSB had 7 3-pointers to Nevada's 2. UCSB covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 16.6 points.
In the NBA, former UCSB player Ajay Mitchell had 14 points for the Thunder the night before; former Nevada player Kobe Sanders had 9 points and 7 assists for the Clippers the night before.
Joe Pasternack's first UC Santa Barbara team went 23-9 in 2017-18, and he has taken the Gauchos to the NCAA tournament in 2021 and 2023.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
NEV 76, UCSB 73model score
+3.6model spread (home)
149.0model total
16.6points off the final margin
FavoriteNEV -1.52.1LostOver 146.52.5Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
+1.5
146.0
our snapshots
Latest
-7.5
136.0
-1116
783
our snapshots (8 books)
Close
+1.5
146.5
102
-122
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin +13 (home)ATS UCSB coveredTotal 139 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
NEV
non-MAC team, not tracked
UCSB
3
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
