Central Baptist Mustangs
Away · model win chance 1%
62
Preview · Fri 11/20, 6 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $26
· McDermott Center, San Antonio, TX
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:09 PM ETUIW -27.4model spread
151.7model total
77possessions
UIW is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Godswill Erheriene UIW · F
-0.5#65 overall in Southland
Offensive engine
Brandon McCreesh UIW · G
-1.1#98 offense in Southland
Defensive anchor
D'Arrae Goodwin UIW · F
+2.4#13 defense in Southland
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| CNTB | UIW | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | non-D-I | -20.0 #356 |
| Offense | non-D-I | 92.3 #355 |
| Defense | non-D-I | 112.4 #299 |
| Tempo | non-D-I | 70.7 #162 |
| Games this season | 216 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Baptist Mustangs | non-Southland team, not tracked | ||
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | 1 short | 46 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.