UT Arlington Mavericks
Away · model win chance 63%
73
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7:30 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Prather Coliseum, Natchitoches, LA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:09 PM ETUTA -3.9model spread
141.4model total
68possessions
No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Kordrick Turner NWST · F
+0.8#41 overall in Southland
Offensive engine
Antoine Almuttar NWST · G
-0.9#92 offense in Southland
Defensive anchor
Isaiah Vick NWST · F
-0.7#90 defense in Southland
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UTA | NWST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -1.2 #166 | -12.3 #307 |
| Offense | 101.8 #254 | 100.6 #272 |
| Defense | 103.0 #116 | 113.0 #304 |
| Tempo | 72.4 #62 | 66.3 #354 |
| Games this season | 5 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UT Arlington Mavericks | non-Southland team, not tracked | ||
| Northwestern State Demons | 5 | 211 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.