Away · model win chance 68%
76
Omaha Mavericks
Home · model win chance 32%
70
Preview · Tue 11/17, 8 PM ET · How to watch: Summit League Network, Midco Sports Plus · Tickets from $14 · Baxter Arena, Omaha, NE · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:09 PM ET
Lamar Cardinals 7668% to win Omaha Mavericks 7032% to win
LAM -5.7model spread
145.6model total
71possessions

No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

LAMOMA
Net rating-2.2 #181-15.6 #335
Offense104.7 #19794.5 #339
Defense106.9 #192110.1 #262
Tempo72.5 #6069.1 #264
Games this season35
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Lamar Cardinals5779same
Omaha Mavericksnon-Southland team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.