California Golden Bears
Home · model win chance 71%
76
Preview · Thu 11/19, 10 PM ET
· How to watch: ACCNX
· Tickets from $8
· Haas Pavilion, Berkeley, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:09 PM ETCAL -6.7model spread
145.2model total
69possessions
No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Gasper Skorjanc ETAM · G
+0.5#45 overall in Southland
Offensive engine
Amar Hot ETAM · F
-0.7#84 offense in Southland
Defensive anchor
Mohamed Diakite ETAM · F
+2.4#12 defense in Southland
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| ETAM | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -3.4 #194 | +0.9 #145 |
| Offense | 101.3 #263 | 109.0 #119 |
| Defense | 104.8 #147 | 108.1 #218 |
| Tempo | 68.9 #271 | 70.2 #191 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Texas A&M Lions | 2 | 465 | -2 h |
| California Golden Bears | non-Southland team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.