Away · model win chance 34%
68
Austin Peay Governors
Home · model win chance 66%
73
Preview · Sat 11/21, 3 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $15 · F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, TN · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 4:09 PM ET
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 6834% to win Austin Peay Governors 7366% to win
APSU -4.9model spread
141.2model total
70possessions

No line yet. Southland lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 160 rated Southland players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

RGVAPSU
Net rating-5.1 #222-3.5 #197
Offense104.3 #20598.7 #301
Defense109.4 #255102.2 #101
Tempo67.7 #31772.3 #70
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Southland lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros2950same
Austin Peay Governorsnon-Southland team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.