South Carolina State Bulldogs
Away · model win chance 37%
71
Home · model win chance 63%
75
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · McAlister Field House, Charleston, SC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ET
South Carolina State Bulldogs 7137% to win The Citadel Bulldogs 7563% to win
CIT -4.0model spread
145.8model total
71possessions

No line yet. SoCon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 157 rated SoCon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SCSTCIT
Net rating-10.2 #288-10.0 #285
Offense95.4 #325103.0 #224
Defense105.7 #168113.0 #306
Tempo73.5 #3367.9 #310
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When SoCon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
South Carolina State Bulldogsnon-SoCon team, not tracked
The Citadel Bulldogs3213same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.