UNC Asheville Bulldogs
Home · model win chance 60%
85
Preview · Wed 11/18, 6:30 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $58
· Kimmel Arena, Asheville, NC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ETUNCA -3.2model spread
167.6model total
74possessions
No line yet. SoCon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
De'Ante Green TNTC · F
+2.6#20 overall in SoCon
Offensive engine
Caleb Hollenbeck TNTC · G
+2.9#9 offense in SoCon
Defensive anchor
Trent Mosquera TNTC · G
-0.6#65 defense in SoCon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 157 rated SoCon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| TNTC | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.1 #232 | -7.3 #251 |
| Offense | 107.3 #154 | 104.6 #201 |
| Defense | 113.4 #318 | 111.9 #288 |
| Tempo | 74.8 #12 | 69.9 #212 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When SoCon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | 2 | 170 | +1 h |
| UNC Asheville Bulldogs | non-SoCon team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.