Away · model win chance 54%
76
South Carolina Upstate Spartans
Home · model win chance 46%
74
Preview · Wed 11/18, 6:30 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $47 · G.B. Hodge Center, Spartanburg, SC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ET
Samford Bulldogs 7654% to win South Carolina Upstate Spartans 7446% to win
SAM -1.1model spread
150.2model total
70possessions

No line yet. SoCon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 157 rated SoCon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

SAMUPST
Net rating-6.3 #237-13.3 #316
Offense104.0 #212100.0 #277
Defense110.3 #263113.3 #317
Tempo70.7 #16369.2 #255
Games this season35
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When SoCon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Samford Bulldogs4296+1 h
South Carolina Upstate Spartansnon-SoCon team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.