Longwood Lancers
Away · model win chance 21%
67
Preview · Sat 11/21, 4 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $59
· Freedom Hall (TN), Johnson City, TN
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ETETSU -9.5model spread
143.5model total
68possessions
No line yet. SoCon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Marqus Marion ETSU · F
+5.9#3 overall in SoCon
Offensive engine
Tyran Mason ETSU · G
+1.8#23 offense in SoCon
Defensive anchor
Trevor Hennig ETSU · G
-0.0#43 defense in SoCon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 157 rated SoCon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| LONG | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -2.7 #186 | +5.9 #106 |
| Offense | 105.1 #187 | 108.0 #137 |
| Defense | 107.9 #214 | 102.1 #99 |
| Tempo | 72.4 #63 | 65.8 #360 |
| Games this season | 5 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When SoCon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Longwood Lancers | non-SoCon team, not tracked | ||
| East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 3 | 146 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.