Longwood Lancers
Home · model win chance 83%
80
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $37
· Joan Perry Brock Center, Farmville, VA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ETLONG -11.3model spread
149.2model total
74possessions
No line yet. SoCon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Alexander Daushvili VMI · F
-0.2#57 overall in SoCon
Offensive engine
TJ Johnson VMI · F
-0.9#113 offense in SoCon
Defensive anchor
Trap Johnson VMI · G
+0.5#31 defense in SoCon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 157 rated SoCon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| VMI | LONG | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -12.6 #309 | -2.7 #186 |
| Offense | 94.4 #341 | 105.1 #187 |
| Defense | 107.0 #193 | 107.9 #214 |
| Tempo | 71.6 #98 | 72.4 #63 |
| Games this season | 5 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When SoCon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI Keydets | 4 | 67 | same |
| Longwood Lancers | non-SoCon team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.