Away · model win chance 44%
70
Marshall Thundering Herd
Home · model win chance 56%
72
Preview · Tue 11/17, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $16 · Cam Henderson Center, Huntington, WV · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ET
East Tennessee State Buccaneers 7044% to win Marshall Thundering Herd 7256% to win
MRSH -1.8model spread
142.3model total
69possessions

No line yet. SoCon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 157 rated SoCon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

ETSUMRSH
Net rating+5.9 #106+3.0 #132
Offense108.0 #137105.0 #188
Defense102.1 #99102.0 #95
Tempo65.8 #36073.9 #26
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When SoCon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
East Tennessee State Buccaneers5146same
Marshall Thundering Herdnon-SoCon team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.