Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Away · model win chance 23%
66
Preview · Sat 11/21, 12 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $31
· Cameron Hall, Lexington, VA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ETVMI -8.9model spread
141.9model total
71possessions
No line yet. SoCon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Alexander Daushvili VMI · F
-0.2#57 overall in SoCon
Offensive engine
TJ Johnson VMI · F
-0.9#113 offense in SoCon
Defensive anchor
Trap Johnson VMI · G
+0.5#31 defense in SoCon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 157 rated SoCon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| GWEB | VMI | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -19.7 #354 | -12.6 #309 |
| Offense | 94.8 #330 | 94.4 #341 |
| Defense | 114.5 #331 | 107.0 #193 |
| Tempo | 70.1 #202 | 71.6 #98 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When SoCon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | non-SoCon team, not tracked | ||
| VMI Keydets | 2 | 67 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.