Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Home · model win chance 41%
74
Preview · Wed 11/18, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $48
· Paul Porter Arena, Boiling Springs, NC
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ETUNCG -2.8model spread
151.4model total
69possessions
No line yet. SoCon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Zavier Fitch UNCG · F
+1.1#36 overall in SoCon
Offensive engine
RJ Greer UNCG · G
+0.8#48 offense in SoCon
Defensive anchor
Cameron Grant UNCG · G
+0.3#34 defense in SoCon
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 157 rated SoCon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UNCG | GWEB | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -10.2 #287 | -19.7 #354 |
| Offense | 105.5 #178 | 94.8 #330 |
| Defense | 115.7 #338 | 114.5 #331 |
| Tempo | 69.5 #238 | 70.1 #202 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When SoCon lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro Spartans | 3 | 593 | same |
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | non-SoCon team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.