Away · model win chance 17%
69
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Home · model win chance 83%
81
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET · How to watch: ACCNX · Tickets from $7 · LJVM Coliseum, Winston-Salem, NC · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:59 PM ET
Western Carolina Catamounts 6917% to win Wake Forest Demon Deacons 8183% to win
WAKE -11.6model spread
149.7model total
69possessions

No line yet. SoCon lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 157 rated SoCon players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

WCUWAKE
Net rating+2.0 #138+13.4 #68
Offense111.1 #90111.0 #92
Defense109.0 #24497.6 #47
Tempo70.1 #19969.2 #257
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When SoCon lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Western Carolina Catamounts3410same
Wake Forest Demon Deaconsnon-SoCon team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.