Incarnate Word Cardinals
Away · model win chance 3%
61
Preview · Wed 11/18, 8 PM ET
· How to watch: YouTube
· Tickets from $20
· Strahan Arena at the University Events Center, San Marcos, TX
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
· Share this preview
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ETTXST -22.0model spread
144.1model total
70possessions
No line yet. Pac-12 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Robert Fields TXST · C
+6.3#9 overall in Pac-12
Offensive engine
Paul Djobet TXST · F
+3.8#16 offense in Pac-12
Defensive anchor
DJ Hall TXST · F
+3.9#8 defense in Pac-12
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated Pac-12 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UIW | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -20.1 #356 | +6.0 #101 |
| Offense | 92.3 #356 | 109.5 #114 |
| Defense | 112.4 #297 | 103.5 #127 |
| Tempo | 70.7 #160 | 69.6 #233 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Pac-12 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Incarnate Word Cardinals | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Texas State Bobcats | 2 | 46 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.