East Texas A&M vs. Oregon St prediction: model has Oregon St by 11
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
East Texas A&M visits Oregon St (4-0) at Gill Coliseum in Corvallis Monday at 9:30 PM ET on YouTube.
Our model makes Oregon St a 10.6-point favorite, projecting a 79-69 final, and gives Oregon St a 81% chance to win.
Players to watch: Legend Smiley of Oregon St, 16.8 points a game; DeShawn Gory of Oregon St, 13.7 points a game; Xavion Staton of Oregon St, 8 points a game.
No line yet. Pac-12 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated Pac-12 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
ETAM
ORST
Net rating
-3.4 #192
+6.2 #98
Offense
101.4 #263
110.5 #101
Defense
104.7 #149
104.3 #139
Tempo
68.9 #273
72.2 #73
Games this season
4
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.