North Dakota State Bison
Away · model win chance 17%
70
Preview · Wed 11/18, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: YouTube
· Tickets from $11
· Moby Arena, Fort Collins, CO
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ETCSU -11.5model spread
151.5model total
69possessions
No line yet. Pac-12 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Carey Booth CSU · F
+5.5#12 overall in Pac-12
Offensive engine
Josh Pascarelli CSU · G
+2.4#28 offense in Pac-12
Defensive anchor
Kyle Jorgensen CSU · F
+0.5#47 defense in Pac-12
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated Pac-12 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| NDSU | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -8.1 #264 | +3.2 #130 |
| Offense | 107.1 #157 | 106.4 #169 |
| Defense | 115.2 #335 | 103.2 #122 |
| Tempo | 68.8 #276 | 70.3 #189 |
| Games this season | 5 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Pac-12 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State Bison | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Colorado State Rams | 3 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.