Texas Southern Tigers
Away · model win chance 2%
68
Preview · Wed 11/18, 10 PM ET
· How to watch: YouTube
· Tickets from $9
· Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ETSDSU -24.5model spread
160.2model total
75possessions
No line yet. Pac-12 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Tae Simmons SDSU · F
+8.6#4 overall in Pac-12
Offensive engine
Latrell Davis SDSU · G
+3.2#21 offense in Pac-12
Defensive anchor
Isaiah Sy SDSU · G
+3.9#7 defense in Pac-12
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated Pac-12 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| TXSO | SDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -12.5 #307 | +14.8 #58 |
| Offense | 99.6 #285 | 114.3 #57 |
| Defense | 112.1 #291 | 99.5 #65 |
| Tempo | 74.1 #20 | 71.3 #116 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Pac-12 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Southern Tigers | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| San Diego State Aztecs | 2 | 35 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.