Neutral · model win chance 38%
75
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Neutral · model win chance 62%
79
Preview · Wed 11/18, 10 PM ET · How to watch: TV not listed yet · Tickets from $38 · Angel of the Winds Arena, Everett, WA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ET
Washington State Cougars 7538% to win Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 7962% to win
HAW -3.8model spread
153.9model total
70possessions

No line yet. Pac-12 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated Pac-12 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

WSUHAW
Net rating-5.8 #226-0.3 #162
Offense111.2 #88102.1 #249
Defense116.9 #350102.3 #103
Tempo69.6 #23570.5 #174
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Pac-12 lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Washington State Cougars3250same
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsnon-MAC team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.