Sam Houston Bearkats
Away · model win chance 10%
78
Preview · Fri 11/20, 9 PM ET
· How to watch: YouTube
· Tickets from $8
· ExtraMile Arena, Boise, ID
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ETBOIS -15.2model spread
171.7model total
76possessions
No line yet. Pac-12 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Dovydas Butka BOIS · F
+7.6#6 overall in Pac-12
Offensive engine
Damari Wheeler-Thomas BOIS · G
+4.8#8 offense in Pac-12
Defensive anchor
Spencer Ahrens BOIS · F
+1.7#24 defense in Pac-12
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated Pac-12 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| SHSU | BOIS | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +3.3 #128 | +17.8 #43 |
| Offense | 109.8 #109 | 119.2 #23 |
| Defense | 106.5 #183 | 101.3 #81 |
| Tempo | 73.2 #41 | 73.5 #35 |
| Games this season | 4 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Pac-12 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston Bearkats | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Boise State Broncos | 4 | 973 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.