Montana State Bobcats
Away · model win chance 6%
70
Preview · Tue 11/17, 11 PM ET
· How to watch: CBSSN
· McCarthey Athletic Center, Spokane, WA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ETGONZ -19.0model spread
159.7model total
70possessions
No line yet. Pac-12 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Massamba Diop GONZ · C
+6.6#7 overall in Pac-12
Offensive engine
Braden Huff GONZ · F
+6.1#2 offense in Pac-12
Defensive anchor
Davis Fogle GONZ · G
+2.8#11 defense in Pac-12
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated Pac-12 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| MTST | GONZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | +3.1 #131 | +24.7 #20 |
| Offense | 110.0 #107 | 123.4 #7 |
| Defense | 106.9 #192 | 98.7 #53 |
| Tempo | 69.7 #227 | 71.0 #136 |
| Games this season | 3 | 3 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Pac-12 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
| Gonzaga Bulldogs | 2 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.