Donovan Dent led LSU with 23 points and 10 assists. Glen Ellyn, Illinois, native Braden Huff had 18 points and 13 rebounds for Gonzaga, a game high on the boards.
LSU had 12 3-pointers to Gonzaga's 5. LSU covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 7.7 points.
In the NBA, former Gonzaga player Domantas Sabonis had 21 points, 12 rebounds and 5 assists for the Kings the night before; former Gonzaga player Andrew Nembhard had 12 points and 6 assists for the Pacers the night before; former LSU player Tari Eason had 14 points and 11 rebounds for the Rockets the night before.
LSU vs. Gonzaga prediction: model has Gonzaga by 7
LSU visits Gonzaga (2-0) at Spokane Numerica Veterans Arena in Spokane Saturday at 3:30 PM ET on USA Net.
Our model makes Gonzaga a 6.7-point favorite, projecting an 82-75 final, and gives Gonzaga a 71% chance to win. The betting market has Gonzaga favored by 5.5 with a total of 161. The model leans Gonzaga -5.5 and Under 161.
Players to watch: Braden Huff of Gonzaga, 15.1 points a game; Isiah Harwell of Gonzaga, 12.2 points a game; Massamba Diop of Gonzaga, 9.5 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
LSU 75, GONZ 82model score
-6.7model spread (home)
156.5model total
7.7points off the final margin
FavoriteGONZ -5.51.2LostUnder 160.54.0Lost
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-6.5
162.2
our snapshots
Latest
-8.5
159.0
-1643
1076
our snapshots (9 books)
Close
-5.5
160.5
-218
180
Draft Kings via ESPN
Margin -1 (home)ATS LSU coveredTotal 161 → over
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
LSU
non-MAC team, not tracked
GONZ
6
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).