Loyola Chicago rolled past Colorado St 73-58 on the road in Fort Collins.
Ryan Agarwal led Loyola Chicago with 11 points. Josh Pascarelli had 15 points for Colorado St. Englewood, Colorado, native Carey Booth led all players with 13 rebounds for Colorado St.
Loyola Chicago had 28 points in the paint to Colorado St's 10. Loyola Chicago covered the closing spread. Our model missed the final margin by 25.9 points.
In the NBA, former Colorado St player Nique Clifford had 0 points for the Thunder the night before.
Loyola Chicago vs. Colorado St prediction: model has Colorado St by 11
Loyola Chicago visits Colorado St (3-0) at Moby Arena in Fort Collins Saturday at 1:30 PM ET on USA Net.
Our model makes Colorado St a 10.9-point favorite, projecting an 80-69 final, and gives Colorado St a 82% chance to win. The betting market has Loyola Chicago favored by 12 with a total of 143. The model leans Colorado St +12.0 and Over 143.
Players to watch: Jase Butler of Colorado St, 13.3 points a game; Carey Booth of Colorado St, 11.9 points a game; Jaden Ghoreishi of Colorado St, 8.7 points a game.
What the model said
Projected that morning with only earlier games
LUC 69, CSU 80model score
-10.9model spread (home)
149.8model total
25.9points off the final margin
FavoriteCSU -7.53.4LostUnder 151.51.7Won
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Leans are against the DraftKings closing line ESPN carries. Season record on the ratings page.
Line and result
Spread (home)
Total
ML home
ML away
Source
Open (first seen)
-8.5
152.5
our snapshots
Latest
+12.5
138.5
11011
-100000
our snapshots (7 books)
Close
-7.5
151.5
-380
300
DraftKings via ESPN
Margin -15 (home)ATS LUC coveredTotal 131 → under
Travel and rest coming in
Team
Rest days
Miles in
Road streak
Time zone
LUC
non-MAC team, not tracked
CSU
2
0
–
same
Rest is full days off between games. Miles are an estimate from the travel model (see the travel page).
