Duke Blue Devils
Neutral · model win chance 99%
94
Preview · Sat 11/21, 11 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN2
· Tickets from $75
· Acrisure Arena, Palm Springs, CA
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 11:34 AM ETDUKE -29.6model spread
157.4model total
71possessions
No line yet. Pac-12 lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Jaylen Harrell WSU · G
-0.1#73 overall in Pac-12
Offensive engine
Lazerek Houston WSU · G
+4.4#10 offense in Pac-12
Defensive anchor
Ladji Dembele WSU · F
-0.4#70 defense in Pac-12
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 114 rated Pac-12 players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| WSU | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -5.8 #226 | +35.7 #1 |
| Offense | 111.2 #88 | 119.9 #17 |
| Defense | 116.9 #350 | 84.2 #1 |
| Tempo | 69.6 #235 | 72.2 #75 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Pac-12 lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington State Cougars | 2 | 1,142 | same |
| Duke Blue Devils | non-MAC team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.