Emmanuel (MA) vs. Yale prediction: model has Yale by 39
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Emmanuel (MA) visits Yale (1-3) at John J. Lee Amphitheater in New Haven Sunday at 2 PM ET on ESPN+.
Our model makes Yale a 38.9-point favorite, projecting a 98-59 final. Emmanuel (MA) is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.
Players to watch: Riley Fox of Yale, 14.4 points a game; Daniel Ogunyemi of Yale, 10.6 points a game; Jack Sullivan of Yale, 3.9 points a game.
Yale is on one day of rest.
The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ET
Emmanuel (MA) Lions590% to winYale Bulldogs98100% to win
YALE -38.9model spread
156.5model total
73possessions
YALE is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
ECMA
YALE
Net rating
non-D-I
-2.0 #180
Offense
non-D-I
110.1 #106
Defense
non-D-I
112.1 #295
Tempo
non-D-I
66.7 #346
Games this season
214
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
