Monmouth Hawks
Away · model win chance 49%
66
Home · model win chance 51%
66
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $14 · Jadwin Gymnasium, Princeton, NJ · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ET
Monmouth Hawks 6649% to win Princeton Tigers 6651% to win
PRIN -0.3model spread
132.7model total
68possessions

No line yet. Ivy lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

MONMPRIN
Net rating+0.8 #147-4.2 #208
Offense102.3 #24799.8 #281
Defense101.5 #88104.1 #135
Tempo71.2 #12466.9 #341
Games this season34
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Ivy lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Monmouth Hawksnon-Ivy team, not tracked
Princeton Tigers4181same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.