Morgan State Bears
Home · model win chance 47%
76
Preview · Sat 11/21, 2 PM ET
· How to watch: TV not listed yet
· Hill Field House, Baltimore, MD
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ETCOR -1.0model spread
153.9model total
76possessions
No line yet. Ivy lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Kaspar Sepp COR · F
+2.0#16 overall in Ivy
Offensive engine
Mateen Rafiq COR · G
+1.1#21 offense in Ivy
Defensive anchor
Quinn Gibson COR · F
+1.6#16 defense in Ivy
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| COR | MORG | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -6.1 #231 | -12.8 #312 |
| Offense | 105.6 #176 | 92.6 #352 |
| Defense | 111.7 #286 | 105.5 #167 |
| Tempo | 72.9 #50 | 73.0 #45 |
| Games this season | 4 | 5 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Ivy lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell Big Red | 2 | 263 | same |
| Morgan State Bears | non-Ivy team, not tracked | ||
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.