Away · model win chance 46%
75
Boston University Terriers
Home · model win chance 54%
76
Preview · Sat 11/21, 12 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+, Patriot League TV · Tickets from $15 · Case Gym, Boston, MA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ET
Columbia Lions 7546% to win Boston University Terriers 7654% to win
BU -1.1model spread
151.1model total
67possessions

No line yet. Ivy lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

COLUBU
Net rating-1.3 #168-5.1 #223
Offense107.2 #157107.8 #143
Defense108.5 #236112.8 #299
Tempo69.3 #25068.3 #294
Games this season44
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Ivy lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Columbia Lions4903same
Boston University Terriersnon-Ivy team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.