DeSales Bulldogs
Away · model win chance 0%
59
Home · model win chance 100%
104
Preview · Mon 11/16, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $16 · The Palestra, Philadelphia, PA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

DeSales vs. Penn prediction: model has Penn by 45

By Hardwood Bricks staff ·

DeSales visits Penn (1-3) at The Palestra in Philadelphia Monday at 7 PM ET on ESPN+.

Our model makes Penn a 45-point favorite, projecting a 104-59 final. DeSales is not a Division I team, so books don't post a line and the model's number is rough.

Players to watch: TJ Power of Penn, 17.8 points a game; Lucas Lueth of Penn, 8 points a game; Augustus Gerhart of Penn, 3.3 points a game.

Penn is on one day of rest.

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ET
DeSales Bulldogs 590% to win Pennsylvania Quakers 104100% to win
PENN -45.0model spread
163.3model total
80possessions

PENN is not Division I, so books don't post this one and the model's number is rough (every non-D-I team shares one pooled rating).

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

DSLUPENN
Net ratingnon-D-I+0.2 #155
Offensenon-D-I104.8 #193
Defensenon-D-I104.6 #145
Temponon-D-I74.6 #14
Games this season2144
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Ivy lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
DeSales Bulldogsnon-Ivy team, not tracked
Pennsylvania Quakers1 short0same
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.