Vermont Catamounts
Away · model win chance 39%
70
Preview · Wed 11/18, 7 PM ET
· How to watch: ESPN+
· Tickets from $20
· John J. Lee Amphitheater, New Haven, CT
· ESPN gamecast ↗
· Game notes (printable)
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The model's call
Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ETYALE -3.3model spread
144.2model total
63possessions
No line yet. Ivy lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall
Daniel Ogunyemi YALE · F
+4.2#4 overall in Ivy
Offensive engine
Jack Sullivan YALE · F
+1.5#11 offense in Ivy
Defensive anchor
Riley Fox YALE · F
-1.1#91 defense in Ivy
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
| UVM | YALE | |
|---|---|---|
| Net rating | -1.8 #174 | -2.0 #180 |
| Offense | 108.9 #122 | 110.1 #106 |
| Defense | 110.7 #272 | 112.1 #295 |
| Tempo | 66.3 #353 | 66.7 #346 |
| Games this season | 4 | 4 |
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
Line, rest and travel
No line posted yet. When Ivy lines post →
| Team | Rest days | Miles in | Time zone |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vermont Catamounts | non-Ivy team, not tracked | ||
| Yale Bulldogs | 2 | 0 | same |
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.