Away · model win chance 67%
70
Holy Cross Crusaders
Home · model win chance 33%
64
Preview · Fri 11/20, 7 PM ET · How to watch: ESPN+ · Tickets from $33 · Hart Center Arena, Worcester, MA · ESPN gamecast ↗ · Game notes (printable) · Share this preview

The model's call

Rating model v1 · updated Sun Nov 15, 2:58 PM ET
Harvard Crimson 7067% to win Holy Cross Crusaders 6433% to win
HARV -5.4model spread
134.3model total
65possessions

No line yet. Ivy lines usually post about a day ahead; once books post, the model's side and total leans show here in color.

OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.

Players to watch

Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.

Team ratings

HARVHC
Net rating-6.3 #236-20.0 #355
Offense98.1 #30797.5 #311
Defense104.4 #140117.4 #351
Tempo64.7 #36571.0 #138
Games this season43
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.

Line, rest and travel

No line posted yet. When Ivy lines post →

TeamRest daysMiles inTime zone
Harvard Crimson1 short36same
Holy Cross Crusadersnon-Ivy team, not tracked
Miles are an estimate from the travel model.