Dartmouth vs. Boston University prediction: model has Boston University by 3
By Hardwood Bricks staff ·
Dartmouth (3-1) visits Boston University at Case Gym in Boston Sunday at 1 PM ET on ESPN+ and Patriot League TV.
Our model makes Boston University a 3.2-point favorite, projecting a 77-74 final, and gives Boston University a 61% chance to win. The betting market has Boston University favored by 20.5 with a total of 146. The model leans Dartmouth +20.5 and Over 146.
Players to watch: Cameron McNamee of Dartmouth, 14.4 points a game; Cam Hiatt of Dartmouth, 10.7 points a game; Nikola Abusara of Dartmouth, 7 points a game.
Dartmouth is playing its second straight road game.
Model makes it BU -3.0; the market says BU -17.5. That is 14.5 points of daylight toward DART, a big lean on the underdog.
Under 156.55.3
Model total 151.2 against a market 156.5: a big lean to the under by 5.3.
OverUnderFavoriteUnderdogThe colored fill is the gap between the model and the market: a full chip means 6 points or more. The number on each chip is that gap.
Projections come from opponent-adjusted offense, defense and pace for every D-I team, with home court. Player absences are not in the number yet. A lean is the gap between the model and the market, not a guarantee. 21+.
Players to watch
Box-score ratings, points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I player
Best overall is the top net rating among regulars in this game; offensive engine and defensive anchor are the best on each end. Ranks are among 127 rated Ivy players. Early in the season these lean on last year's numbers. Tap a player for his profile.
Team ratings
DART
BU
Net rating
-4.0 #204
-5.1 #223
Offense
104.0 #211
107.8 #143
Defense
108.1 #219
112.8 #299
Tempo
70.5 #176
68.3 #294
Games this season
4
4
Per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and venue; # is the D-I rank of 365. Defense: lower is better. Full table on the ratings page.
